SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
47.51% ( -0.09) | 24.94% ( -0.02) | 27.55% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.25% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.42% ( 0.16) | 48.58% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.29% ( 0.15) | 70.7% ( -0.15) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( 0.02) | 20.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( 0.04) | 52.97% ( -0.04) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% ( 0.17) | 31.77% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.8% ( 0.19) | 68.2% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.55% |
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