SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Maritimo |
43.76% ( -0.72) | 27.9% ( 0.02) | 28.34% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 46% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.49% ( 0.24) | 59.51% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.14% ( 0.18) | 79.86% ( -0.18) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( -0.26) | 27.01% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.63% ( -0.34) | 62.37% ( 0.34) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( 0.69) | 36.98% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% ( 0.68) | 73.77% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 43.76% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.34% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
