Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Maritimo |
54.12% ( 0.59) | 24.65% ( -0.11) | 21.23% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.12% ( -0.09) | 52.88% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.5% ( -0.08) | 74.49% ( 0.08) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.51% ( 0.19) | 19.48% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.65% ( 0.32) | 51.35% ( -0.32) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.27% ( -0.54) | 39.73% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% ( -0.5) | 76.4% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.11% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.23% |
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