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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
M

Gil Vicente
2 - 0
Maritimo

Tiba (23'), Araujo (82')
Araujo (30'), Fernandes (58'), Marin (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Riascos (62'), Val (64'), Vidigal (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 1-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 2-0 Maritimo

Off the back of ending their four-game losing streak, Maritimo will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to beat the drop. However, they take on a Gil Vicente side who are unbeaten in seven of their nine matches this year and have put together a fine run of form on home turf. We predict a cagey affair on Sunday with the Gilistas picking up all three points and sending the visitors crashing back to earth. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Gil Vicente.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawMaritimo
54.12% (0.586 0.59) 24.65% (-0.108 -0.11) 21.23% (-0.476 -0.48)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.316 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)52.88% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)74.49% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51% (0.194 0.19)19.48% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65% (0.319 0.32)51.35% (-0.317 -0.32)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)39.73% (0.54 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (-0.499 -0.5)76.4% (0.501 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 54.11%
    Maritimo 21.23%
    Draw 24.65%
Gil VicenteDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 12.65% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.21% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.11%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.74% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Porto 1-2 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Vizela
Friday, February 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, February 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, February 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Gil Vicente
Tuesday, January 31 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 3-1 Santa Clara
Saturday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Maritimo
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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