SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
18.39% ( 0.17) | 22.17% ( 0.16) | 59.44% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.52% ( -0.42) | 46.48% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( -0.39) | 68.76% ( 0.4) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.91% ( -0.05) | 39.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.19% ( -0.05) | 75.81% ( 0.05) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.24) | 15.26% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.06% ( -0.46) | 43.94% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.39% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.16% | 0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
