Nacional's Taca de Portugal journey looks set to end at the quarter-final stage, with Casa Pia expected to flex their top-flight muscles and book their place in the last four with another clean-sheet victory in the competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).
-0.24) 
0.18) 
