SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 8.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.38%) and 0-3 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
8.38% ( 0.08) | 15.73% ( 0.16) | 75.89% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 43.71% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( -0.47) | 41.36% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.25% ( -0.48) | 63.75% ( 0.48) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.13% ( -0.12) | 51.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.08% ( -0.08) | 85.92% ( 0.08) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.81% ( -0.17) | 9.19% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.87% ( -0.42) | 31.13% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 8.38% | 1-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 15.73% | 0-2 @ 13.58% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 10.8% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 6.45% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 4.23% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 3.08% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.4% Total : 75.89% |
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