Fresh off the back of picking up their first defeat of the season, Porto will look to make an immediate response and return to winning ways to avoid a late upset in their title charge. Conceicao's men take on an inconsistent Vizela side who have managed just three wins on the road this season and we are backing them to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.52%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 7.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vizela
78.52%	13.66%	7.82%

Both teams to score 49.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.95%

33.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.21%

54.79%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.29%

6.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.16%

24.84%

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.63%

47.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.23%

82.77%

Score Analysis

Porto 78.52%

Vizela 7.82%

Draw 13.66%

Porto	Draw	Vizela
2-0 @ 11.6% 3-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 7.81% 4-0 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 5.28% 5-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.92% 5-1 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 1.97% 6-0 @ 1.72% 6-1 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.44% Total : 78.52%	1-1 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 3.24% 0-0 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.83% Total : 13.66%	1-2 @ 2.4% 0-1 @ 2.38% Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.82%