SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Porto | 34 | 64 | 91 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 47 | 82 |
| 3 | Benfica | 33 | 47 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Estoril Praia | 33 | -9 | 36 |
| 14 | Vizela | 33 | -18 | 33 |
| 15 | Arouca | 33 | -22 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.52%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 7.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.42%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-2 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
| 78.52% | 13.66% | 7.82% |
| Both teams to score 49.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.95% | 33.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.21% | 54.79% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.29% | 6.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.16% | 24.84% |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.63% | 47.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.23% | 82.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Vizela |
| 2-0 @ 11.6% 3-0 @ 10.45% 2-1 @ 8.67% 1-0 @ 8.59% 3-1 @ 7.81% 4-0 @ 7.06% 4-1 @ 5.28% 5-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.92% 5-1 @ 2.85% 4-2 @ 1.97% 6-0 @ 1.72% 6-1 @ 1.28% 5-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.44% Total : 78.52% | 1-1 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 3.24% 0-0 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.83% Total : 13.66% | 1-2 @ 2.4% 0-1 @ 2.38% Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.82% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
