With just two points separating Vizela and Arouca, we predict a cagey affair as they both look to snap their winless runs and boost their survival chances. However, we predict the honours will be shared between the two evenly-matched sides who should do just enough to leave with a point apiece. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Arouca
37.36%	26.6%	36.04%

Both teams to score 52.21%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.26%

52.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.63%

74.37%

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64%

27.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18%

62.82%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.87%

28.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.19%

63.81%

Score Analysis

Vizela 37.36%

Arouca 36.04%

Draw 26.6%

Vizela	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 8.2% 2-0 @ 6.46% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.36%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.7% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 9.76% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 3.39% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.04%