Gil Vicente have put together a fine run of form since the turn of the year and will be looking to continue in the same vein. However, Rio Ave have won their last two home matches and will head into the weekend looking to return to winning ways. With that said, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and hold out for a share of the spoils in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
0.94) 
-0.19) 
