SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portimonense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Chaves |
32.79% ( -0.06) | 27.2% ( -0.03) | 40.01% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.81% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( 0.11) | 55.55% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( 0.09) | 76.72% ( -0.09) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( 0.01) | 31.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32% ( 0.02) | 68% ( -0.02) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 0.1) | 27.18% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.41% ( 0.13) | 62.59% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 40% |
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