After a rough end to 2022, Gil Vicente have turned their fortunes around since the turn of the year and will be looking to continue in the same vein. Given the contrasting form between the two sides and Pacos de Ferreira's lack of sting up top, we are backing the Gilistas to claim all three points in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
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