Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.46%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 25.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
48.46% ( -0.07) | 26.3% ( 0) | 25.23% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.2% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% ( 0.03) | 55.57% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% ( 0.02) | 76.74% ( -0.03) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% ( -0.02) | 22.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.25% ( -0.03) | 56.75% ( 0.02) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.56% ( 0.07) | 37.44% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.78% ( 0.07) | 74.22% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.3% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 25.23% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: