Vitoria de Guimaraes and Famalicao have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and this makes Monday's matchup an exciting one. Os Vimaranenses have been dominant in the history of this fixture and we predict that they will extend their fine run against the visitors by claiming all three points.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
1.17) 
-1.35) 
