SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 28.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%).
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela |
45.99% ( -0.14) | 25.27% ( -0.04) | 28.73% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% ( 0.27) | 49.29% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.65% ( 0.25) | 71.34% ( -0.25) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.56% ( 0.05) | 21.44% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( 0.08) | 54.46% ( -0.08) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( 0.27) | 31.25% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( 0.32) | 67.6% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.73% |
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