Gil Vicente are currently one of the most in-form sides in the division, claiming seven wins and four draws in their last 11 games. However, they face the tricky test of going up against a Maritimo side who have been solid away from home in recent weeks, claiming 12 points from the last 15 available. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we predict the Gilistas will keep their fine run going and come out victorious.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
