SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.11% ( -0.75) | 27.63% ( -0.37) | 39.26% ( 1.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.59% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.88% ( 1.28) | 57.12% ( -1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.01% ( 1.01) | 77.99% ( -1.01) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( 0.15) | 32.18% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.33% ( 0.17) | 68.67% ( -0.17) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( 1.28) | 28.35% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.91% ( 1.58) | 64.09% ( -1.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.1% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.26% |
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