Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 8.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.54%) and 0-3 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
