SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
38.67% ( 0.32) | 26.7% ( 0.15) | 34.63% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( -0.65) | 53.25% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( -0.56) | 74.8% ( 0.56) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( -0.12) | 26.85% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( -0.16) | 62.15% ( 0.16) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.75% ( -0.61) | 29.25% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.76) | 65.2% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.63% |
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