Having lost their last two outings, both Moreirense and Gil Vicente will head into Friday's game looking to stop the rot and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas.
Peixoto's men have been rock-solid at home in recent weeks and we are backing them to come away with all three points against a Gil Vicente side who have struggled to impose themselves on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.02) 
