While it has been a turbulent campaign for both sides, Nacional and Rio Ave have guaranteed their top-flight status for another season and will be looking to close out the campaign on a high. However, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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