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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Apr 4, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
T

Guimaraes
1 - 2
Tondela

Estupinan (39')
Fonseca Amaro (52'), Fernandes (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gonzalez (27', 76')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawTondela
54%25.83%20.17%
Both teams to score 43.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.76%58.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.12%78.88%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33%21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.81%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.06%43.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.92%80.07%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 53.99%
    Tondela 20.17%
    Draw 25.83%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawTondela
1-0 @ 14.56%
2-0 @ 11.13%
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 4.67%
4-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.99%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 9.52%
2-2 @ 3.77%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 4.92%
0-2 @ 3.22%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 20.17%

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