Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
