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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 18, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
V

Portimonense
0 - 1
Vizela


Junior (23'), Moufi (90+7')
Sa (20')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guzzo (90+4')
Samu (56'), Juliao (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Braga
Saturday, March 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Portimonense 1-2 Vizela

With just three points separating Portimonense and Vizela in the league table, we expect an exciting contest with both sides taking the game to each other. The Portimao outfit have been impressive on home turf in recent weeks and we anticipate that they will return to winning ways on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
PortimonenseDrawVizela
44.09% (-0.547 -0.55) 26.34% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.57% (0.543 0.54)
Both teams to score 51.15% (0.291 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.235 0.23)53.24% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.199 0.2)74.8% (-0.202 -0.2)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98% (-0.163 -0.16)24.02% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72% (-0.234 -0.23)58.27% (0.23200000000001 0.23)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (0.52500000000001 0.53)32.68% (-0.529 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (0.586 0.59)69.23% (-0.58999999999999 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Portimonense 44.08%
    Vizela 29.57%
    Draw 26.34%
PortimonenseDrawVizela
1-0 @ 11.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.08%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.045 0.04)
1-2 @ 7% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.91% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 29.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chaves 2-0 Portimonense
Saturday, March 11 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, March 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, February 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Portimonense
Saturday, February 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-4 Braga
Saturday, March 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Vizela
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Vizela
Friday, February 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Chaves
Friday, February 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, February 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga


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