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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
P

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Portimonense

Silva (22')
Bamba (73'), Silva (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pedrao (45+4'), Alves (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Portimonense

After a disappointing start to the year, Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and head into the weekend as slight favourites to grab the desired results. While Portimonense appear to have hit their stride once again, we are backing the hosts to come out on top this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
57.39% (0.074999999999996 0.07) 24.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 18.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.028000000000006 0.03)55.8% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.07% (0.023 0.02)76.93% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.66% (0.039000000000001 0.04)19.34% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (0.066000000000003 0.07)51.11% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.14% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)44.85% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.18% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)80.82% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.38%
    Portimonense 18.14%
    Draw 24.46%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 14.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.41% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 57.38%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.46%
0-1 @ 6.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 18.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, February 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Saturday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Guimaraes
Monday, January 16 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-2 Guimaraes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, January 7 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Monday, February 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 4-2 Portimonense
Sunday, January 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 4-0 Portimonense
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Santa Clara
Friday, January 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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