Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.27%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
