SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.18% ( 0.09) | 21.9% ( 0.25) | 62.92% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( -0.81) | 50.7% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( -0.72) | 72.6% ( 0.72) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.36) | 45.65% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.55% ( -0.28) | 81.45% ( 0.28) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0.38) | 15.54% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% ( -0.72) | 44.47% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.18% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 12.29% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 62.9% |
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