SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
63.72% ( 0) | 21.37% ( 0.03) | 14.91% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.86% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( -0.18) | 49.06% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( -0.17) | 71.14% ( 0.17) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( -0.06) | 14.74% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.04% ( -0.11) | 42.96% ( 0.11) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.16) | 45.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.04% ( -0.13) | 80.96% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 63.7% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.36% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.91% |
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