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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
FL

Rio Ave
1 - 1
Famalicao

Topic (49' og.)
Oudrhiri (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cadiz (11')
Youssouf (26'), Topic (54'), Riccieli (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 0-0 Famalicao

These two sides have scored just seven goals between them in their eight matches combined this season, so expecting a classic may be a little far-fetched. Famalicao's good early form means they may have slightly more confidence, but Sousa could be happy with a point to take home to extend the club's unbeaten run in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawFamalicao
44.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.46%29.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.67% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.2%53.8% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.73%75.27% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (0.012999999999991 0.01)24.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.55% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.14% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)69.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 44.18%
    Famalicao 29.35%
    Draw 26.45%
Rio AveDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.82% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.18%
1-1 @ 12.56%
0-0 @ 8.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-2 Porto
Monday, August 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, August 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Chaves
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, July 30 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-0 Viseu
Saturday, July 22 at 11am in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Farense
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Moreirense
Monday, August 21 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Famalicao
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: CF Os Belenenses 3-2 Famalicao
Sunday, July 23 at 6pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Famalicao
Friday, May 26 at 7pm in Primeira Liga


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