SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Famalicao | 3 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Porto | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Benfica | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | Portimonense | 4 | 4 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
| 13.44% | 20.76% ( -0.1) | 65.8% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.04% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( 0.39) | 49.49% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( 0.35) | 71.52% ( -0.34) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.51% ( 0.24) | 47.49% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.15% ( 0.18) | 82.85% ( -0.17) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% ( 0.16) | 14.23% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.03% ( 0.3) | 41.97% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.44% | 1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.76% | 0-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 12.84% ( -0.06)1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 65.79% |
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