Porto have flown out of the blocks this season, winning each of their opening three games. The Dragoes next task tees them up against a floundering Rio Ave side and we predict they will extend their dominance over the Vilacondenses. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Porto
13.44%	20.76% ( -0.1)	65.8% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.04% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.51% (

0.39)

49.49% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.48% (

0.35)

71.52% (

-0.34)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.51% (

0.24)

47.49% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.15% (

0.18)

82.85% (

-0.17)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.77% (

0.16)

14.23% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.03% (

0.3)

41.97% (

-0.3)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 13.44%

Porto 65.79%

Draw 20.76%

Rio Ave	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 13.44%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.76%	0-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 12.84% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 65.79%