While Rio Ave will set out to pick up back-to-back home wins, they face a Braga side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Jorge's side head into the weekend on a run of five consecutive wins in all competitions and we are backing them to come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Braga
21.34% ( 0.01)	24.07% ( -0.06)	54.59% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.41% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

0.25)

50.46% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.61% (

0.22)

72.39% (

-0.22)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.76% (

0.15)

38.23% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.01% (

0.15)

74.99% (

-0.14)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.62% (

0.11)

18.38% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.48% (

0.19)

49.52% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 21.34%

Braga 54.58%

Draw 24.06%

Rio Ave	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.34%	1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.58%