Braga only lost four home games last season and have already had three matches in Europe to get up to full speed this term. They also beat this opponent convincingly home and away in the last campaign and we feel they will get the new season started with a fairly comfortable win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Estrela Amadora
70.55% ( 0.06)	17.58% ( -0.05)	11.87% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.87% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.78% (

0.23)

39.21% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.45% (

0.24)

61.55% (

-0.25)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.07% (

0.07)

9.93% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.13% (

0.18)

32.86% (

-0.18)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48% (

0.14)

43.51% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.27% (

0.11)

79.72% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Braga 70.55%

Estrela Amadora 11.87%

Draw 17.58%

Braga	Draw	Estrela Amadora
2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 70.55%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.58%	0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.45% 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 11.87%