SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
20.04% ( 0.43) | 23.86% ( 0.36) | 56.1% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 49.16% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.84% ( -0.9) | 51.16% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( -0.79) | 73.01% ( 0.79) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.05) | 39.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.36% ( -0.04) | 76.64% ( 0.04) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% ( -0.62) | 18.08% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51% ( -1.07) | 49% ( 1.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.04% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 10.57% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.35% Total : 56.09% |
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