Braga have flown out of the blocks this season and will head into the weekend in sky-high confidence. They take on an out-of-sorts Vitoria de Guimaraes side who have suffered a slump and we are backing Os Arcebispos to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
60.09% ( 2.24)	22.27% ( -0.74)	17.65% ( -1.49)

Both teams to score 49.91% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

0.88)

48.05% (

-0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

0.81)

70.22% (

-0.8)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.43% (

1.07)

15.58% (

-1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.47% (

1.95)

44.54% (

-1.94)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.12% (

-1.2)

40.88% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.55% (

-1.09)

77.45% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Braga 60.08%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 17.65%

Draw 22.27%

Braga	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.08%	1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.27%	0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.94% Total : 17.65%