SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
43.9% ( 0.45) | 25.42% ( -0.09) | 30.68% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.63% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% ( 0.23) | 48.98% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.93% ( 0.21) | 71.07% ( -0.2) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( 0.31) | 22.27% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.29% ( 0.46) | 55.71% ( -0.46) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% ( -0.13) | 29.72% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.22% ( -0.16) | 65.78% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.68% |
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