SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.71%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
54.71% ( -0) | 22.29% ( -0.04) | 22.99% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.07% ( 0.2) | 40.93% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.68% ( 0.21) | 63.32% ( -0.21) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( 0.07) | 14.91% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.71% ( 0.14) | 43.29% ( -0.14) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( 0.14) | 31.36% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( 0.16) | 67.73% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 54.71% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 22.99% |
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