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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Dec 6, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
E

Braga
2 - 2
Estoril

Bruma (16', 56' pen.)
Martinez (52'), Arrey-Mbi (64'), Fernandez (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marques (68' pen.), Costa (82')
Bacher (54'), Costa (72'), Lacximicant (85'), Robles (90+3'), Carvalho (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 0-1 Braga
Sunday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, December 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Estoril Praia

Only Sporting have prevented Braga from securing maximum points in the Liga in the last four, and the hosts should return to winning ways in front of their fans against an Estoril side that are winless on their travels this term and through the calendar year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
64.23% (0.75000000000001 0.75) 19.19% (-0.162 -0.16) 16.57% (-0.592 -0.59)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.746 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.96% (-0.358 -0.36)36.04% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.86% (-0.392 -0.39)58.13% (0.389 0.39)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.38% (0.084000000000003 0.08)10.62% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.57% (0.19199999999999 0.19)34.43% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.1% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)34.9% (0.894 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.36% (-0.954 -0.95)71.64% (0.95100000000001 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Braga 64.23%
    Estoril Praia 16.57%
    Draw 19.19%
BragaDrawEstoril Praia
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.32% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.33% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.97% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.11% (0.034 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.91% (0.125 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.84% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.062 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 64.23%
1-1 @ 8.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.71% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 4.6% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-1 @ 3.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.05% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 16.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: AVS 0-1 Braga
Sunday, December 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Hoffenheim
Thursday, November 28 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Leixoes 0-2 Braga
Saturday, November 23 at 6.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 2-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, November 10 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Elfsborg 1-1 Braga
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Arouca 1-2 Braga
Sunday, November 3 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, December 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-0 AVS
Saturday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Estoril
Sunday, November 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 4-1 Arouca
Saturday, October 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Lusitano Evora 0-0 Estoril (4-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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