SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for AVS had a probability of 11.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.88%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Braga |
11.08% ( -0.36) | 18.23% ( -0.2) | 70.69% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.61% ( -0.09) | 44.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.24% ( -0.08) | 66.76% ( 0.08) |
| AVS Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.74% ( -0.71) | 48.26% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.58% ( -0.52) | 83.42% ( 0.52) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( 0.13) | 11.3% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.06% ( 0.27) | 35.93% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| AVS | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.51% Total : 11.08% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.23% | 0-2 @ 12.96% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 9.44% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 9.42% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.14% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 70.68% |
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