Vitoria Guimaraes have been in mixed form of late but they will be confident heading into this match off the back of another solid result in the Conference League. However, Rio Ave have gone over a year without tasting a league defeat on their home patch, and we feel they will be able to maintain that unbeaten record in this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
