Both teams will come into Sunday's meeting full of confidence and have the quality to hurt one another, and we anticipate a hotly-contested encounter.
Arouca know that avoiding defeat will be enough to maintain a comfortable lead over their visitors, and we see them having enough to at least take a share of the spoils at the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
