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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
SL

Guimaraes
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon


Maga (4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Goncalves (47'), Arthur (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting Lisbon

Sporting have found wins hard to come by of late, but they will fancy their chances of seeing off the threat of an out-of-sorts Vitoria side. We are backing the away side to emerge triumphant in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSporting Lisbon
20.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 23.57% (0.026 0.03) 55.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.43% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.15% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)48.85% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.05% (-0.084 -0.08)70.95% (0.089999999999989 0.09)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)37.68% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)74.46% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)17.47% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)47.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 20.98%
    Sporting Lisbon 55.45%
    Draw 23.56%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.47%
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.98%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 5.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 5-1 Guimaraes
Saturday, March 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca
Saturday, March 11 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, March 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Juventus
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-0 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-0 Santa Clara
Saturday, April 1 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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