SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Slovan Bratislava win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
29.79% ( 0.04) | 23.5% ( -0.01) | 46.7% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.73% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.06) | 40.76% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( 0.06) | 63.14% ( -0.07) |
| Slovan Bratislava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% ( 0.05) | 26.19% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% ( 0.07) | 61.27% ( -0.08) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 0.01) | 17.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% ( 0.02) | 48.38% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovan Bratislava | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.79% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.37% 0-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0)Other @ 3.82% Total : 46.7% |
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