SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Osijek |
31.62% ( -0.04) | 27.47% ( 0.16) | 40.91% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.65% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.15% ( -0.6) | 56.86% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.22% ( -0.48) | 77.78% ( 0.49) |
| NK Varazdin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.34) | 33.08% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.33% ( -0.38) | 69.67% ( 0.38) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -0.34) | 27.31% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( -0.45) | 62.75% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| NK Varazdin | Draw | Osijek |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 31.62% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.9% |
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