SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahli win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Al Arabi had a probability of 37.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.81%) and 0-2 (5.44%). The likeliest Al Arabi win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al Ahli |
37.36% ( -0.01) | 23.61% ( 0.02) | 39.02% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.95% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.05% ( -0.11) | 38.94% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.73% ( -0.12) | 61.26% ( 0.12) |
| Al Arabi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( -0.05) | 21.05% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.14% ( -0.09) | 53.86% ( 0.08) |
| Al Ahli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.06) | 20.26% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( -0.09) | 52.6% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al Arabi | Draw | Al Ahli |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 39.02% |
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