SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46.75% ( 0.84) | 24.95% ( -0.12) | 28.3% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.84% ( 0.1) | 48.16% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.68% ( 0.09) | 70.32% ( -0.1) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( 0.41) | 20.64% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.79% ( 0.64) | 53.21% ( -0.64) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.01% ( -0.47) | 30.99% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.71% ( -0.56) | 67.29% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 46.75% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.3% |
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