SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
33.75% ( -0.03) | 27.49% ( -0.02) | 38.77% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.52% ( 0.09) | 56.48% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.52% ( 0.07) | 77.48% ( -0.07) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( 0.02) | 31.43% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( 0.03) | 67.81% ( -0.02) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( 0.08) | 28.33% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( 0.09) | 64.06% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.52% 2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 33.74% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.77% |
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