SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 62.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 15.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
62.53% ( -0.02) | 22.25% ( -0.1) | 15.22% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.01% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.04% ( 0.63) | 51.96% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.3% ( 0.55) | 73.7% ( -0.54) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( 0.22) | 16.1% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.5% ( 0.39) | 45.5% ( -0.38) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.64% ( 0.57) | 46.36% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18% ( 0.43) | 82% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 62.52% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.24% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.22% |
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