Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.