SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 8 | -15 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 8 | -15 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 8 | -15 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
46.76% ( -0.17) | 26.08% ( -0.03) | 27.16% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% ( 0.26) | 53.46% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( 0.22) | 74.99% ( -0.22) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.03) | 22.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( 0.05) | 56.57% ( -0.05) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.31) | 34.66% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.6% ( 0.32) | 71.39% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.16% |
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