SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Rostov win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Rostov |
46.07% ( -0.25) | 26.48% ( 0.09) | 27.44% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.42% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.15% ( -0.23) | 54.85% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.85% ( -0.19) | 76.14% ( 0.19) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( -0.22) | 23.76% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( -0.32) | 57.91% ( 0.31) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0.01) | 35.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.07% ( 0.01) | 71.93% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.44% |
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