SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Fakel |
49.92% ( 0.69) | 27.89% ( 0.02) | 22.19% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.91% ( -0.58) | 63.09% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.47% ( -0.42) | 82.53% ( 0.42) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.06) | 25.6% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.09) | 60.48% ( -0.09) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.38% ( -1.07) | 44.62% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.37% ( -0.88) | 80.63% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 15.56% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 49.91% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.45% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.19% |
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